Model the uncertainties

A product can have variable performance and behaviour during its lifespan, depending on the stresses it is subjected to or its characteristics. The lack of knowledge and the imprecision of experimental measurements motivate the modelling of product-related uncertainties. The MS course introduces the fundamental elements for modelling uncertainties and analysing product performance in all cases.

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2-day course

Objectives

  • Understand the reasons behind the probabilistic approach
  • Learn how to build a probabilistic model
  • Be able to critically examine the results of a statistical analysis

 

Prerequisites

  • Basic knowledge of mathematics.
  • Good knowledge of Python.

AUDIENCE

  • R&D Engineer
  • Design Office Engineer
  • Operational Safety Engineer

 

Upcoming sessions

  • March 18-19, 2021
  • April 8-9, 2021
  • September 16-17, 2021
  • November 25-26, 2021

PLACE

18/20 Boulevard Reuilly, 75012 PARIS – Métro Dugommier


MANAGER

Sylvain GIRARD

Program

Why use randomness in modelling?

Fundamental concepts of statistics and probability

  • Random variable and probability law
  • Uniform and Gaussian Laws
  • Expectancy and variance
  • Distribution function and density

Couple of random variables, conditioning and regression

  • Interactions between random variables
  • Conditional probabilities
  • Predicting with data: the linear model

Create a model and decide on a sample

  • Model uncertainty using random variables
  • Infer parameters using a sample
  • Quantitatively test assumptions and make decisions

Exercises (paper – pencil or Python)

catalogue_2021_incertitude

Application form

Do not hesitate to register or to ask for more information. Customized training can also be offered. The location of the training is subject to change. Most of our courses can be conducted online. Once you have sent your registration request, one of our trainers will contact you to specify your needs and adapt the training.



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Phimeca Clermont-Ferrand

Centre d’affaires du Zénith

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Phone: +(0)33 4 73 28 93 66

Phimeca Paris

18/20 boulevard de Reuilly

F-75012 Paris

FRANCE


Phone: +(0)33 1 58 51 18 02

Phimeca Annecy

Pépinière Galileo

178 route de Cran-Gevrier

74650 Chavanod

FRANCE


Phone: +(0)33 6 07 55 15 63

Phimeca Lyon

191 cours Lafayette

69006 Lyon

FRANCE


Phone: +(0)33 6 80 83 59 29